This installment of the icitizen Oregon Poll examines November 2018 general election matchups, statewide legislation, and other public policy issues.
With the 2018 race already on the horizon, Oregonians are largely split down the middle when it comes to their attitudes about Governor Kate Brown (D), according to a new online poll conducted by icitizen.
In an online survey of 645 adults in Oregon, potential Republican candidates Knute Buehler and Greg Wooldridge appear to be the early front runners to face Brown in the 2018 Gubernatorial election.
Race for Governor
- Half (50%) of Oregonians view Kate Brown unfavorably (46% “favorable,” 3% “no opinion,” 1% “never heard of name”).
- Among those who view the Governor most unfavorably are seniors (59%), men over age 50 (59%), Republicans (99%) and Independents (56%). Besides Democrats (93%), racial minorities (62%) are Kate Brown’s strongest supporters.
- Turning to Governor Brown’s potential Republican opponent, among those who consider voting in the 2018 Republican primary, the head-to-head match-ups with Kate Brown are as follow:
- Kate Brown, the Democrat (41%), Knute Buehler, the Republican (40%), Someone else (11%), Undecided (8%).
- Kate Brown, the Democrat (40%), Lori Chavez Deremer, the Republican (34%), someone else (17%), Undecided (8%).
- Kate Brown, the Democrat (42%), Greg Wooldridge, the Republican (39%), Someone else (11%), Undecided (7%).
- A majority of Oregonians (58%) oppose a proposed $600 million tax on health insurance policy premiums to fund the state’s Medicaid program (35% “support,” 8% “unsure.”)
- Respondents are split down the middle (49% “support,” 50% “oppose,” and 1% “unsure”) on the recently passed legislation expanding coverage on abortions and other reproductive services regardless of income, U.S. citizenship status, or gender identity.
- When it comes to legislation to reduce the criminal penalties for the possession of heroin, cocaine, and meth from a felony to a misdemeanor, 49% “support,” 48% “oppose,” and 3% are “unsure.”
- The legislation’s largest supporters include millennials (77%) and women under age 50 (69%). Over 1 in 3 Democrats oppose this legislation.
Oregonians’ take on national policy
- The majority (54%) of adults surveyed “oppose” sanctuary cities (45% “support, 1% “unsure”).
- Those who oppose sanctuary cities include men (62%) and those with less than a college degree (61%), and 72% of those from the Central/East, South, and Coast areas of the state.
- 51% “support” and 47% “oppose” ending the DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program), (2% “unsure). The program, designed to protect undocumented youth brought to the U.S. illegally, is especially unpopular among men over 50 (64%), those with less than a college degree (55%), and Republicans (60%).
This survey was conducted online from September 13 – 28, 2017 among 645 registered icitizen users in Oregon, utilizing a non-probability sample from an opt-in convenience panel. The data were weighted to U.S. Census benchmarks for gender, age, race, education, region, and national benchmarks for party identification in the state. The margin of error for the full sample is 3.9 percentage points, and is higher for subgroups.
For more information, please contact Cynthia Villacis, icitizen’s Director of Polling.
Click HERE for gubernatorial crosstabs.
Click HERE for legislative crosstabs.