Trump up 10 points against Clinton among Tennessee voters
4 in 10 think Trump’s leaked video comments were “inappropriate, but typical of locker room talk among men”
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (October 20, 2016) – In the latest statewide poll released by polling company icitizen, Donald Trump solidly remains the favorite presidential candidate among registered voters in Tennessee.
According to the results, the presidential ballot stands with Donald Trump (44%), Hillary Clinton (34%), Gary Johnson (7%), Jill Stein (2%), someone else (5%), undecided (8%).
“Trump has a commanding lead despite underperforming among his party base,” said icitizen Polling Analyst Cynthia Villacis. “He has support from only 79% of Republicans and 68% of conservatives, but his standing is elevated significantly by a 17-point lead among Independents, an 18-point lead among men and a 20-point lead among seniors. Whether Trump carries Tennessee in November may rest on the Independent vote at the ballot box.”
Public image continues to be a liability for both presidential candidates: Clinton has 63% unfavorability and Trump 58% unfavorability among Tennessee registered voters. More than half (52%) of Tennesseans said “neither” candidate is honest and trustworthy.
Regarding the release of a 2005 tape that featured Donald Trump making lewd comments about women, 62% of voters believe that the leaked footage will have “some” to “a great deal” of an effect on his campaign (32% not much/none, 5% unsure).
Further, a plurality of voters (44%) believe Trump’s comments in the video were “completely unacceptable in any situation.” Thirty-nine percent believe the comments were “inappropriate, but typical of locker room talk among men,” including 43% of religious Tennesseans.
“This month’s poll results show that just 15% of voters think the Republican candidate respects women,” Villacis said. “When we released our statewide poll in August, Trump held a 17-point lead over Clinton, with 42% of women supporting him. Interestingly, although his overall lead dropped seven points in this month’s poll, his support among women remained steady at 41%. Over the past two months, Trump lost support from his base (in August, 86% of Republicans supported him; today he has 79%), so his main challenge in the final stretch of the election season will be resecuring their vote.”
Methodology: The survey was conducted online from October 14-17, 2016 among registered Tennessee voters. In order to achieve an accurate demographic representation of the public, the data were weighted to U.S. Census and voter file benchmarks for gender, age, region, education, income, marital status and race. Party identification was not weighted. The margin of error for the full sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points, and is higher for subgroups.
For more information, contact icitizen’s Polling Analyst Cynthia Villacis at firstname.lastname@example.org.
icitizen is a nonpartisan, trusted resource that connects citizens to the information, organizations and elected representatives most relevant to them. Through icitizen, citizens easily promote and stay informed on important issues and vote in polls to create meaningful change. Anonymous poll results and public opinion data are shared with representatives, organizations, companies and other stakeholders to inform policy. Using representative sampling based on U.S. Census and voter file targets, icitizen’s polling services help policymakers drive sound, data-driven decisions.
icitizen is based in Nashville, Tenn., and the company’s polls have been featured in Fivethirtyeight, the New York Times and Huffington Post. For more information, visit icitizen.com.